Monday, October 13, 2008

Raptor Line-Up Thoughts

Shooting Guard

The shooting guard position is one full of question marks for this team. There is no clear-cut starter and it seems Anthony Parker won the starting gig by default. Joey Graham and Jason Kapono both can compete for the spot, but they havent really put up much of a battle. Because of the lack of clear options at our wing positions, they may be some overlap between the 2 and 3 for the Raps next year. Mitchell will undoubtedly experiment in hopes of finding the best combintation of players to complement Calderon, Bosh and O'Neal.

Starter: Anthony Parker
Second Man: Jason Kapono
Scrub / Rook: Joey Graham

Anthony Parker was a solid contributor but you could see as he end of games he showed signs of fatigue. He plays best coming off screens or being the pass out of a double team; basically when the shot is created for him. He has a very sweet jumper and is pretty consistent when open. We play him way too many minutes becuase of a lack of alternatives and this excessive playing leads him to tire at the end of games. He would be a great bench player or one who plays around 15-20 minutes a game. His rebounding is average at about 4.1 a game while contributing 2.2 assists a game. What makes him a good fit on this team is that he is willing to make the hustle plays and usually plays within the flow of the game. He would defer plays to the main stars of the team and get his own through broken plays, and out of double teams. He is a good defender but is getting a bit slower with age. Good player for this team, wrong use. But he's the best we got.

projected stats: 26.0 mpg, .460 fg%, .385 3pt%, .830 ft%, 3.6 rpg, 2 asg, 0.3 spg, 1.5 tpg, 8 ppg

Jason Kapono is one player which could make us a major player this year if he performs well. He has an amazing release and is usually a dead-eye shooter. Last year he played too tentatively and this was compounded with Smitch continually subbing him in and out without any regularity. He is a below-average defender and some say he is a good 'team defender' but I don't neccessarily agree. A team defender would be good if we play zone, but for the majority of the time, we do not. He seems to know what to do on defense, he is just not capable of phsyically doing it. However he is improving and I think he will have a major role this year.

projected stats: 18.0 mpg, .510 fg%, .480 3pt%, .840 ft%, 2.3 rpg, 2.2 asg, 0.2 spg, 1 tpg, 11 ppg

Aaah, Joey Graham. Joey Mr. Frustrating Graham. He is entering his third season and is still way too inconsistent. He is also a victim to the random substitution of Sam and does not know his role with the team. Throughout last seasn his jumper seems to have improved and sometimes can take over a game with his sheer athleticism and drive, but rarely does it. I honesstly do not think he has the brain to play in the NBA. He has all the physical gifts, but does not know how to utilize them. He can rebound, but doesn't and he could play great defense but has not shown that yet. This is his make-or-break year with the team.

projected stats: 10.0 mpg, .430 fg%, .365 3pt%, .780 ft%, 3.6 rpg, 1 asg, 0.4 spg, 2 tpg, 6 ppg

Overall the shooting guard position is lacking in depth, but brimming with potential. If we could get a career year out of Kapono or Graham, it would go a long way towards the Raptors becoming a real contender. Only time will tell if that is the case.

Monday, October 6, 2008

Raptor Line-Up Thoughts

Point - Guard

(I am splitting this post into 6 parts, a post for each position and one final one on how the starters will mesh and what is expected from the bench and .... my predictions for the upcoming year!)

The raptors enter this season with more questions on the roster than ever before. Are all the new players going to gel? Will Chris Bosh translate winning in the Olympics to winning in the NBA? Will we make it to the second round? These are all legitimate questions and hopefully by looking at the potential starting line-up we may be able to get some answers. Today we start with the man at the top, the point guards

The Point Guard Poisition.

Starter: Jose Calderon
Second Man: Will Solomon
Scrub / Rook: Roko Ukic

Jose Calderon is the man, the unquestioned point guard of the Raptors this upcoming season. We traded TJ Ford and gave the Spaniard a fat 8 mil/year contract as a sign that this was now Calderon's team at the point. Calderon plays a style of conservative basketball with the emphasis on not turning the ball over and passing to the hot hand. He rarely, if ever, pushes the ball on a fast break which leads us to sometimes forgo easy transition buckets in expense for not turning over the ball cheaply. Calderon has steadily improved as a shooter. In his first year, opposing teams were daring him to shoot but now they must respect the shot. Last year he shot .519 from the field and .429 from 3 point land which is very good. Calderon's defense is an aspect that can be improved as he continually got beat at the perimeter leading to easy points for the other team. He needs to stay ahead of his man and contest his shot. With O'Neal lurking,, he may be a bit more aggresive playing the shot. He is entering the prime of his career and is widely considered on of the second-tier point guards of the NBA.

projected stats: 30.0 mpg, .480 fg%, .435 3pt%, .900 ft%, 2.6 rpg, 9 asg, 0.4 spg, 2 tpg, 15 ppg

Against popular thought, I think Solomon will be the de facto second pg off the bench for the raps this year. He has only one year of experience in the NBA, but has gathered much wisdom playing abroad in Europe. He seems like an okay defender on the perimeter, but from this youtube clip, he likes to block from the perimeter meaning he leaves his feet quickly and probably will get beat by better guards. He looks like an alright shooter and passer, but may have difficulty at first adapting to the speed of the NBA.

projected stats: 10.0 mpg, .430 fg%, .355 3pt%, .780 ft%, 3.4 rpg, 3 asg, 1.0 spg, 2 tpg, 5 ppg

Roko Ukic is coming over for his first season in the NBA. Similarily to Calderon, he has played a few years professionally in Europe and comes here as the back-up to learn the ropes. From watching the Olympics (i know ridiculously small sample size) he looks like a slasher and more of a scorer than distributor. This would be a nice change of pace from Calderon. He will probably need to work on his shooting and making the right decisions.

projected stats: 7.5 mpg, .420 fg%, .335 3pt%, .740 ft%, 2.4 rpg, 1.5 asg, 0.5 spg, 2 tpg, 3 ppg

Overall we have a great first option in Calderon and back-ups long on potential and short on experience. We need one of Ukic or Solomon emerge as a solid back-up to give Calderon some rest and keep him fresh throughout the year. Overall this position would be considered below to just average compared to the majority of NBA teams. Lets hope the two back-ups can help make this a strength for the dinos.

Props to NBA.com for last year's stats for Calderon on fg% and 3 point %

Saturday, October 4, 2008

Arsenal Game Recap

Arsenal 1 - Sunderland 1

Arsenal's recent yo-yo form continued with a 1-1 draw with Sunderland at the Stadium of Light Stadium up North. Arsenal was very un-imaginative with few penetrating passes and decent scoring attempts. Sunderland followed Hull and Fulham's example of parking 10 men behind the ball and, as usual, it worked against Arsenal.

The starting line-up was:
Aluminia
Clichy Toure Gallas Sagna
Denilson Fab Song Walcott
Ade Van P.
with Nasri, Bendtner and Vela coming on in the latter stages.

Arsenal had a goal wrongly disallowed as the linesman ruled Theo out-of-bounds at the touchline as he passed it to an unmarked Van Persie for a goal in the 57th minute. Silly, silly official call as Walcott did well to keep the ball in play and pass it to Van Persie.

Amazingly their substitute scored in the 86th minute with a lucky goal from poor marking from Adebayor. The little baby run to the sidelines and started crying afterwards. In the third minute of extra time Fab powered home a header with Craig Gordon doing his best Paul Robinson routine to salvage a point.

This is a poor result, and now having played one more game than the majority of the team around us, we are in a poisition to fall down the 7th or 8th if the results of the other games go against us. We cannot keep on dropping points on games like this or it will be another year without the English Premiership silverware and I don't want that.

Friday, October 3, 2008

Thoughts of the Jermaine O'Neal Trade

After last year's disappointing first round playoff defeat to the Magic in 5 games, I was one in the camp who thought that Colangelo was not going to alter the chemistry of the Raps; his only change maybe being adding big man presence through the draft. There were many names that intrigued me, Roy Hibbert, Kosta, and the Lopez twins easily come to mind now. Even though each of these players brought different strengths to the table, ultimately I was pretty sure that none of them would be difference makers for this team, especially this upcoming year. So it was a pretty big surprise to me when the Raptors announced that they traded T.J Ford, Rasho, Basten and Rights to our '08 first rounder (Hibbert) to Indiana in exchange for Jermaine O'Neal.
My initial thoughts of this trade were joyous, finally we have someone to play centre and shift Bosh back to power forward. This also allows Bargs to be the first man off the bench and to spell relief for both guys. In 28.7 minutes a game, Jermaine averaged 13.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists but played for only 42 games. The last four seasons, he has played 44, 51, 69 and 42 games, legitimizing concerns of his future health. However, over a 5 year period prior to that he has played between 70 and 81 games every year, so we may just have to watch and determine which Jermaine we are getting in terms of health. He has been a 19+ point scorer for seven years before falling to 13.6 ppg last year. Judging by his career shooting percentage numbers, he has never been an 'efficient' scorer, never average more that .500 % in his career. Injury concerns was one of the major incentives why Indiana were willing to trade him along with his bloated contacts and his presence being a constant reminder of the brawl at the palace.

T.J. Ford, really became his own as the point guard leader of the raptors over the past two years. The beginning of last year he was the unquestioned starter and split minutes pretty evenly with Calderon until that horrible injury by Horford (I don't care if he did it by accident, there was no point challenging that play anyways). After that Calderon really took the reigns of the team and Ford was relegated to bench. He didn't like that, and the chemistry of the team really began to sour and this was a key reason for us limping into the playoffs and subsequently losing in the first round. It was clear that one of either Ford or Calderon needed to be traded as they both thought they should be starters. Ford was given the short stick. His stats for last season were in 24.8 minutes 12.1 ppg, 6.2 assists and 2 turnovers in 51 games. He was a quality player and a nice change of pace from Calderon but he still took too many shots when sometimes a pass was the better option. Having said that, he was, sadly, one of the few raptors who could actually create his own shot.

Rasho was actually one of my favourite players on the team last year because of his total consistency and professionalism. He truly fit in with that team and his baseline J from 10 was automatic. He played good defense and was servicable in offence, but he did contribute to our lack of athleticism and as a result, he really wasn't much of a help-side defender. He had a good basketball IQ and knew how to play the game smart. His stats were 20.9 mpg, 7.8 points, 4.8 boards and 0.2 blocks in 71 games. Solid, solid back-up centre in my opinion.

Basten was actually signed from Indiana and really didn't play much for the Raps and the first rounder was used to entice the Pacers into taking the deal. Hibbert looked good from what i've seen in his Georgetown days and I think his best case is a slightly more athletic Rasho sans the IQ. He needs to work on the offensive part of his game to be successful.

Now, I think this was a good trade for both teams. Toronto has never had such a interior presence on defense who can challenge the opposition if the perimeter player got beaten. However, as Sam Mitchell pointed out in the globe that Jermaine should not be there to defend every play and the onus is on the primary defender to get the stop and for Jermaine to help if needed. Jermaine can also score, but often resorts to low percentage shots. The hope here is with working with Bosh, he can focus primarily on defense and the let the game run through him on offense, and not force his own. Essentially, the raptors traded depth for the potential of a former all-star defensive player with injury concerns. It remains to be seen if Jermaine can re-create his peak years and avoids his injury troubles. If not, the Raps have a huge 20 million hit on the cap for the next two years. For Indiana, they get to really rebuild on the fly with TJ and Rasho. Hibbert is an interesting prospect and Basten looks great on the bench already. They have a nice starting five in Ford, Jack , Granger, Dunleavy, Rasho/Foster with good depth.

Athletes LOVE coming up to Canada to play, from Antonio Davis, to Vince Carter and probably the most out-spoken character being Alonzo Mourning, what a great guy. In all seriousness, athletes view Canada as some lonely outpost from the rest of the league and this has never made any sense to me. Even as an objective person I would rather play in the city of Toronto than say Oklahoma City, leaving out teammates, playing style etc. It was actually really refreshing to see Jermaine actually wanted to come to Toronto. He was excited to play alongside Bosh, and said we could actually compete for a title next year. Hold up big guy, we're about a year from that, but I like the optimism.

Jermaine actually fits in really well defensively with this team, though any position could concievably be upgraded besides Bosh. Our perimeter defenders have been poor keeping the man in front of them, and O'Neal could now cover as the help defender. When this happens, Bosh (or the other power forward) must switch to O'Neal's man and the rotation needs to start with respect to the other players. Also, O'Neal can block tons of shots, making driving players think twice before coming into the lane. Finally, instead of Bosh battling two and sometimes three offensive players for the defensive rebound, he will have a buddy thats really good at grabbing boards. This will limit second chance points and thats always a good thing. I am forseeing a lot of man-to-man coverage with the occasional shift to a 3-2 zone.

Offensively, he is one who could make our team really dangerous. Teams cannot just gang up on Bosh when he gets the ball on the low post, as he could pass out of it to the open shooter or Jermaine, who would be standing at the top of the paint. At times, Jermaine also may be double teamed, and this could be a case of pick your poison. Either try to contain the two forces (Bosh and O'Neal) down low with extra bodies and leave the shooters open (Calderon, Parker and Kaps) or let the two big man wreak havoc. Also, O'Neal has been average-to-great in grabbing offensive boards, which will give us the ability to reset and grab second chance points.

In essence, O'Neal has the potential to change the entire make-up of the team. He can instill a defensive mentality a la Kevin Garnett while also helping out the spacing for offence, letting Chris Bosh, Calderon and in particular Kapono shine. Raps might not be considered 'soft' anymore with O'Neal patrolling the paint. I want to finish up with an article I read of Jermaine O'Neal in ESPN March 24. He talks about how he had to fight since being drafted and traded from Portland to become 'the man'. One quote that he said stuck out with me. "But the more I play, the more I see being The Man isn't scoring 20 and getting 15 rebounds every night. It's making everyone around you better." I think this is going to be a good year for my Raps.

Thanks to NBA.com and ESPN.com for the stats of the players and the article on Jermaine O'Neal.